Espoli vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
12%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
33.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
NAC
3 - 0
ESP
61%
23%
17%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ESP
0 - 0
MAN
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
LIG
2 - 0
ESP
72%
17%
11%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
ESP
2 - 0
IMB
50%
26%
25%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
BSC
4 - 1
ESP
53%
26%
21%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
NAC
3 - 0
ESP
61%
23%
17%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
CUE
2 - 2
NAC
45%
29%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 0
EME
38%
28%
34%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +2 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 0
IVT
52%
25%
24%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
MAN
1 - 0
NAC
40%
30%
30%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |