Espoli vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
26.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2010 |
BSC
0 - 3
ESP
51%
27%
23%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
ESP
2 - 5
CUE
40%
27%
34%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
IVT
1 - 1
ESP
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2010 |
ESP
1 - 1
MAC
45%
27%
29%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
LIG
3 - 0
ESP
71%
18%
12%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2010 |
NAC
4 - 0
MAN
52%
26%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
QUI
1 - 0
NAC
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2010 |
BSC
1 - 2
NAC
46%
29%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2010 |
NAC
0 - 0
CUE
48%
26%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
IVT
0 - 1
NAC
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |