Dep. Español vs San Telmo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
53.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.2%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2019 |
BAR
4 - 0
ESP
79%
15%
7%
|
39 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2019 |
ESP
0 - 1
EST
13%
25%
62%
|
40 | 60 | 20 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
UAI
0 - 0
ESP
50%
27%
23%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2019 |
ESP
1 - 0
FLA
15%
25%
60%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2019 |
TAL
1 - 1
ESP
59%
23%
18%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
San Telmo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2019 |
STM
1 - 1
ATL
32%
28%
41%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2019 |
SUA
0 - 1
STM
45%
26%
29%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
STM
3 - 0
TAL
51%
25%
24%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
COM
0 - 2
STM
31%
28%
42%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2019 |
STM
3 - 1
COL
37%
28%
35%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |