Dep. Español vs El Porvenir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.5%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.3%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
6%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
SMA
1 - 2
ESP
19%
24%
57%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
ESP
0 - 1
RPI
58%
24%
18%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
LAM
0 - 1
ESP
26%
26%
48%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
ESP
2 - 0
BER
53%
24%
23%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
ARM
1 - 1
ESP
35%
26%
39%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
El Porvenir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
POR
0 - 0
CCO
22%
26%
51%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
ITA
1 - 1
POR
77%
16%
7%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
POR
0 - 2
ALE
28%
26%
46%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SMA
1 - 0
POR
62%
21%
17%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
POR
1 - 1
RPI
17%
26%
57%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | +1 |