Dep. Español vs Deportivo Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
32.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2015 |
BRO
3 - 2
ESP
69%
19%
12%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ESP
0 - 1
COL
45%
28%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -2 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
FLA
0 - 0
ESP
18%
24%
59%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ESP
0 - 2
ATL
36%
29%
35%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2014 |
FEN
0 - 3
ESP
50%
25%
25%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
MER
0 - 0
ALM
49%
26%
26%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ITA
1 - 1
MER
32%
28%
41%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2015 |
MER
0 - 1
FEN
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -2 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 1
MER
61%
24%
16%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2014 |
ALM
2 - 0
MER
63%
24%
14%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | -2 |