Dep. Español vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
28.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2018 |
TAL
1 - 1
ESP
53%
26%
22%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2018 |
ESP
1 - 0
BAR
29%
28%
43%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
SUA
1 - 1
ESP
53%
26%
22%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
ESP
1 - 3
EST
27%
28%
45%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2018 |
SMG
1 - 0
ESP
24%
27%
49%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
DEF
1 - 1
ATL
30%
28%
42%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2018 |
COL
1 - 3
DEF
42%
29%
29%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
DEF
2 - 2
STM
43%
29%
28%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
COM
0 - 0
DEF
42%
30%
28%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2018 |
DEF
0 - 0
VSC
51%
28%
21%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |