Dep. Español vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.1%
30.4%
Draw
0-0
12.9%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.4%
35.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
UAI
1 - 1
ESP
46%
28%
26%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
ESP
0 - 2
ARM
57%
26%
18%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
RIE
2 - 1
ESP
36%
27%
37%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2016 |
ESP
0 - 1
BAR
40%
29%
31%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2016 |
MOR
2 - 0
ESP
52%
25%
22%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
DEF
1 - 2
ARS
9%
20%
72%
|
55 | 79 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
ATT
0 - 1
DEF
82%
13%
5%
|
54 | 76 | 22 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2016 |
VSC
1 - 0
DEF
42%
28%
29%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
DEF
0 - 0
ACA
48%
30%
22%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
COL
0 - 1
DEF
56%
26%
19%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |