Dep. Español vs Arg. Quilmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
29.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2014 |
CAD
1 - 1
ESP
40%
26%
34%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
ESP
1 - 0
SAC
50%
25%
25%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2013 |
MID
1 - 3
ESP
35%
27%
39%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
ESP
1 - 2
STM
53%
26%
21%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2013 |
ESP
2 - 0
BER
54%
25%
22%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Arg. Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2014 |
SAC
2 - 0
ARQ
30%
24%
46%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
ARM
0 - 1
ARQ
31%
26%
43%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2013 |
ARQ
2 - 0
DOC
55%
24%
22%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
RIE
1 - 1
ARQ
50%
24%
25%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
ITA
2 - 1
ARQ
35%
26%
39%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |