Deportivo Colonia vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
50.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Colonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
COL
1 - 1
MWA
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
PEÑ
4 - 1
COL
62%
21%
17%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
FEN
2 - 2
COL
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
REN
0 - 1
COL
56%
23%
21%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2005 |
COL
2 - 0
ROC
48%
26%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
NAC
0 - 0
RIV
69%
18%
12%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
NAC
1 - 0
REN
73%
17%
10%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
NAC
1 - 0
TAC
74%
16%
9%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
FEN
1 - 2
NAC
31%
26%
44%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2005 |
CSC
1 - 1
NAC
27%
26%
48%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |