Sportivo Carapeguá vs Independiente FBC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
26.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Carapeguá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
CER
1 - 0
CAR
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
LQE
1 - 1
CAR
44%
26%
31%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 2
CCP
28%
28%
43%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
OLI
3 - 2
CAR
67%
19%
13%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
CAR
4 - 1
DEP
63%
23%
15%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
IND
1 - 4
CCP
30%
26%
45%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
OLI
1 - 1
IND
68%
19%
12%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
IND
2 - 4
AME
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
3 - 1
IND
54%
26%
20%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2011 |
LIB
2 - 2
IND
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |