Sportivo Carapeguá vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
34.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Carapeguá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
TAC
1 - 1
CAR
41%
28%
32%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 2
LIB
25%
30%
45%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
NAC
3 - 1
CAR
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 1
RÑU
43%
27%
31%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
IND
1 - 1
CAR
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 1
CCP
30%
26%
44%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2012 |
OLI
2 - 0
GUA
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 1
AME
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2012 |
LQE
2 - 2
GUA
34%
26%
40%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
TAC
1 - 1
GUA
29%
27%
44%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |