Sportivo Carapeguá vs PF Cerro Por. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
23.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Carapeguá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 1
AME
48%
27%
26%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
CCP
3 - 0
CAR
71%
19%
10%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 3
NAC
30%
24%
46%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CAR
3 - 2
RÑU
59%
23%
19%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
GUA
2 - 1
CAR
63%
23%
15%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
PF Cerro Por.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
CER
1 - 3
CCP
26%
26%
48%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
NAC
4 - 1
CER
71%
19%
11%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
CER
1 - 2
RÑU
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CER
0 - 0
GUA
34%
27%
39%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
GEN
1 - 1
CER
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |