Sportivo Carapeguá vs PF Cerro Por. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
25.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Carapeguá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 1
AME
41%
28%
31%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
AME
1 - 0
CAR
63%
22%
16%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 0
GUA
38%
28%
35%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
TAC
1 - 1
CAR
41%
28%
32%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 2
LIB
25%
30%
45%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
PF Cerro Por.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
CER
0 - 1
LQE
59%
24%
18%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 0
CER
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2012 |
CER
2 - 1
TAC
54%
24%
21%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
LIB
2 - 0
CER
70%
19%
10%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2012 |
CER
5 - 0
NAC
26%
26%
48%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |