Sportivo Carapeguá vs PF Cerro Por. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
23.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Carapeguá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 0
LQE
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2012 |
CCP
1 - 0
CAR
69%
20%
11%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 2
OLI
26%
28%
46%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 2
AME
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 1
CAR
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
PF Cerro Por.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CER
1 - 2
CCP
19%
24%
57%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
OLI
3 - 3
CER
76%
16%
7%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
CER
1 - 1
AME
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
CER
2 - 1
GUA
28%
26%
46%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
TAC
1 - 0
CER
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |