Dep. Capiatá vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
39.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Capiatá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2018 |
DEP
3 - 0
IND
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2018 |
CCP
1 - 0
DEP
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
NAC
3 - 1
DEP
51%
24%
24%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
TFA
1 - 3
DEP
1%
4%
96%
|
75 | 9 | 66 | -4 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
DEP
2 - 1
LQE
42%
25%
33%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
LQE
0 - 3
GUA
28%
26%
46%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
GUA
1 - 0
SAN
62%
22%
15%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
GEN
3 - 1
GUA
27%
26%
47%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
GUA
0 - 3
OLI
42%
26%
33%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 1
GUA
28%
26%
46%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -1 |