Copa Colombia Final
Global 3-4
Deportivo Cali vs Independiente Medellín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
35.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2019 |
ENV
1 - 1
CAL
26%
26%
49%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2019 |
CAL
2 - 1
ONC
51%
26%
23%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
AGU
1 - 4
CAL
28%
26%
46%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2019 |
TOL
1 - 1
CAL
44%
27%
29%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
CAL
0 - 0
SFE
48%
27%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2019 |
IND
1 - 1
TOL
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2019 |
HUI
0 - 1
IND
20%
24%
56%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2019 |
IND
2 - 0
ALI
69%
19%
12%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2019 |
IND
3 - 2
PAS
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2019 |
JAG
0 - 1
IND
13%
22%
66%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |