Copa Colombia Last 16
First-leg 0-1
Deportivo Cali vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
30.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 0
CAL
47%
24%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ONC
4 - 1
CAL
39%
27%
34%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
TOL
1 - 1
CAL
45%
25%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
CAL
0 - 2
PAS
45%
27%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
CAL
1 - 3
SFE
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 0
CAL
47%
24%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
FOR
0 - 0
PAS
49%
26%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
ALI
1 - 1
FOR
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
CHI
2 - 2
FOR
38%
29%
33%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
FOR
2 - 2
IND
43%
25%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |