Deportivo Cali vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
14.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
EQU
1 - 1
CAL
20%
25%
56%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CAL
5 - 1
TOL
45%
28%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
COR
4 - 1
CAL
19%
24%
56%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
NAC
3 - 0
CAL
47%
24%
29%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -2 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 2
NAC
46%
27%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 1
TOL
26%
29%
45%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 0
CHI
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 2
JAG
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
BUC
0 - 0
FOR
53%
26%
21%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
FOR
0 - 2
BUC
41%
29%
31%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -2 |