Conmebol Sudamericana Playoffs 1/32
Global 5-3
Deportivo Cali vs Danubio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
PAT
1 - 3
CAL
35%
27%
38%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
CAL
3 - 0
SFE
42%
27%
31%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
TOL
0 - 1
CAL
41%
27%
33%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
CAL
2 - 1
LEO
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
EQU
2 - 0
CAL
32%
27%
42%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
CER
3 - 2
DAN
45%
27%
28%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
DAN
5 - 0
ATE
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +3 |
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
DAN
69%
19%
12%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
DAN
0 - 0
BOS
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
DAN
0 - 3
LFC
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |