Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 2-2
Deportivo Cali vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
45.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2004 |
PER
0 - 1
CAL
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
CAL
2 - 0
NAC
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2004 |
CAL
3 - 1
COL
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
PAS
0 - 1
CAL
35%
28%
38%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2004 |
CAL
4 - 2
CHI
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2004 |
SAN
1 - 3
CRZ
47%
24%
30%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2004 |
CRZ
2 - 2
CRI
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
GOI
2 - 2
CRZ
30%
25%
44%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2004 |
CRZ
2 - 1
JUV
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2004 |
CFC
2 - 3
CRZ
13%
19%
67%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |