Copa Libertadores Semi-finals
Global 6-3
Deportivo Cali vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
25.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1999 |
BVS
1 - 1
CAL
45%
24%
31%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1999 |
CAL
2 - 1
BVS
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1999 |
COL
1 - 0
CAL
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1999 |
CAL
2 - 0
COL
51%
26%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1999 |
VEL
3 - 0
CAL
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1999 |
CCP
4 - 0
EST
68%
20%
12%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1999 |
EST
3 - 0
CCP
23%
26%
51%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1999 |
NAC
2 - 1
CCP
44%
26%
31%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1999 |
CCP
5 - 0
NAC
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1999 |
PAL
2 - 1
CCP
73%
17%
11%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |