Deportivo Cali vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
18.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 1978 |
DAN
3 - 0
CAL
57%
22%
22%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1978 |
PEÑ
0 - 2
CAL
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 1978 |
CAL
0 - 0
JUN
62%
19%
19%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1978 |
CAL
2 - 0
DAN
64%
18%
18%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
CAL
1 - 0
PEÑ
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1978 |
ALI
3 - 0
CCP
57%
20%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1978 |
CCP
1 - 0
POR
65%
19%
16%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1978 |
CCP
1 - 1
EST
64%
19%
17%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1978 |
LIB
0 - 0
CCP
57%
20%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1978 |
POR
1 - 1
CCP
49%
23%
29%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |