Copa Libertadores Quarter-finals
Global 1-4
Deportivo Cali vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
36.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2004 |
CAL
0 - 3
IND
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2004 |
RIV
1 - 0
CAL
65%
20%
15%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
CAL
1 - 0
UNI
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2004 |
CRZ
2 - 1
CAL
74%
16%
9%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
MIL
2 - 0
CAL
36%
27%
37%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2004 |
RIV
0 - 0
CHA
76%
16%
8%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2004 |
RIV
1 - 0
CAL
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
BOC
0 - 1
RIV
47%
24%
29%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
RIV
1 - 2
SAN
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
RIV
1 - 0
VEL
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |