Clausura Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 1-3
Deportivo Cali vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
26%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
HUI
0 - 1
CAL
29%
25%
46%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 4
ONC
51%
26%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2015 |
CHI
0 - 2
CAL
15%
23%
62%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
PAT
2 - 1
CAL
22%
25%
54%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 0
SFE
48%
27%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
CUC
1 - 2
NAC
16%
28%
56%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
SFE
1 - 0
NAC
46%
27%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 0
MIL
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 0
ALI
64%
22%
14%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
PAT
0 - 1
NAC
29%
29%
42%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |