Apertura Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Deportivo Cali vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
23.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
HUI
1 - 4
CAL
34%
27%
40%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2011 |
CAL
1 - 0
JUN
55%
24%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
SFE
1 - 1
CAL
35%
28%
38%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
CAL
0 - 1
AME
69%
19%
12%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2011 |
PAS
2 - 1
CAL
29%
28%
43%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
NAC
3 - 1
AGU
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
PER
0 - 2
NAC
20%
25%
55%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 2
QUI
60%
23%
17%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
TOL
5 - 0
NAC
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2011 |
ONC
1 - 2
NAC
50%
23%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |