Deportivo Cali vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
20.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1977 |
OPE
1 - 0
CAL
50%
21%
29%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1977 |
BOL
3 - 0
CAL
50%
21%
29%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1977 |
NAC
0 - 3
CAL
56%
20%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1975 |
CRZ
2 - 1
CAL
66%
18%
15%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1975 |
VAS
0 - 0
CAL
63%
22%
16%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1977 |
BOL
3 - 0
NAC
59%
20%
21%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1977 |
OPE
4 - 0
NAC
49%
22%
29%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1977 |
NAC
0 - 3
CAL
56%
20%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1975 |
VAS
2 - 0
NAC
66%
19%
16%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1975 |
CRZ
2 - 3
NAC
76%
15%
9%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |