Deportivo Fabril vs UP Langreo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
34.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
4º
12º
7º
8
3º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
10 | 71 |
1º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 70 |
2º
|
33.5% | |
|
2º
|
8 | 57 |
3º
|
9.5% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 54 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
8 | 54 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 54 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
6 | 50 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 49 |
8º
|
6% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 49 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 45 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 42 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 41 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 40 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 39 |
14º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 38 |
15º
|
12% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 36 |
16º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 26 |
17º
|
27% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 26 |
18º
|
37% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2% | 2.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
25.5% | 35.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
54.5% | 52.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
5.5% | 2.5% |
|
Relegation
|
12.5% | 7% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Fabril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
PON
2 - 1
DEP
68%
20%
13%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
DEP
2 - 0
COM
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 2
DEP
64%
20%
16%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
DEP
0 - 1
AVI
61%
23%
17%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
COM
3 - 0
DEP
41%
26%
34%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
UP Langreo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
COM
0 - 2
UPL
36%
27%
38%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
UPL
1 - 1
VAL
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
AVI
0 - 0
UPL
28%
26%
46%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
UPL
4 - 2
GIM
48%
26%
27%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
CUL
3 - 0
UPL
72%
19%
10%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |