Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 5-2
Deportivo Fabril vs Cacabelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
8.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Fabril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1969 |
DEP
1 - 2
ROB
59%
23%
18%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1969 |
ENS
1 - 0
DEP
75%
16%
10%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1969 |
CAC
1 - 1
DEP
35%
26%
39%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1969 |
DEP
5 - 1
ALO
77%
15%
8%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1969 |
ATO
1 - 2
DEP
47%
26%
27%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cacabelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1969 |
ARE
0 - 2
CAC
79%
14%
7%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1969 |
CAC
1 - 2
SDI
19%
25%
56%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1969 |
CAC
1 - 1
DEP
35%
26%
39%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1969 |
BAS
3 - 0
CAC
88%
9%
3%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1969 |
CAC
3 - 1
LAU
41%
25%
34%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |