Deportivo Fabril vs DAV Santa Ana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
16.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Fabril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1995 |
MST
2 - 0
DEP
54%
25%
21%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1995 |
DEP
2 - 2
GAL
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1995 |
CDT
1 - 1
DEP
36%
27%
37%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1995 |
DEP
1 - 0
ASP
53%
24%
23%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 1995 |
RCF
1 - 1
DEP
79%
14%
7%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
DAV Santa Ana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1995 |
STA
2 - 1
RMC
28%
26%
47%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1995 |
PON
4 - 1
STA
69%
21%
11%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1995 |
STA
2 - 1
LUG
30%
29%
41%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | +4 |
| 24 Sep. 1995 |
SSR
2 - 3
STA
74%
18%
9%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1995 |
GET
3 - 1
STA
79%
14%
6%
|
29 | 57 | 28 | 0 |