Tercera Playoffs Galicia Final
Global 4-4
Deportivo Fabril vs El Palo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
29.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Fabril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
TUI
2 - 1
DEP
33%
25%
43%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
DEP
2 - 0
TUI
68%
19%
13%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
COR
2 - 1
DEP
40%
26%
35%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
DEP
3 - 1
COR
51%
24%
25%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
DEP
2 - 0
PON
56%
23%
22%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
El Palo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
PAL
5 - 1
JUM
64%
19%
17%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
JUM
1 - 2
PAL
40%
26%
35%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
BUR
3 - 2
PAL
58%
23%
20%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
PAL
0 - 0
BUR
46%
25%
29%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
PAL
3 - 0
VEL
64%
19%
16%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |