Deportivo Fabril vs Negreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
8.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Fabril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
SIL
3 - 1
DEP
25%
23%
52%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
DEP
3 - 0
CHO
58%
22%
20%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 1
DEP
36%
25%
39%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
DEP
3 - 2
RIB
67%
19%
14%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
BAR
4 - 4
DEP
22%
23%
55%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Negreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
NEG
0 - 2
CER
27%
26%
47%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
RCV
0 - 4
NEG
66%
21%
14%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
NEG
1 - 1
NOI
58%
23%
19%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
ALO
2 - 0
NEG
66%
20%
13%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
NEG
0 - 0
RIB
35%
25%
41%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |