Deportivo Fabril vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.7%
30.3%
Draw
0-0
13.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.3%
26.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Fabril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1992 |
CAM
0 - 1
DEP
52%
26%
23%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1992 |
DEP
0 - 2
CUL
48%
28%
24%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -2 |
| 22 Mar. 1992 |
DEP
3 - 1
LOG
58%
23%
19%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 1992 |
ASP
2 - 0
DEP
58%
24%
18%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1992 |
DEP
0 - 2
SPB
41%
29%
31%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1992 |
LUG
0 - 2
LOG
74%
17%
10%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1992 |
ASP
0 - 0
LUG
47%
30%
23%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1992 |
LUG
2 - 0
SPB
43%
30%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1992 |
NUM
0 - 2
LUG
54%
28%
19%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 1992 |
LUG
1 - 1
LAL
57%
26%
17%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |