Deportivo Fabril vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
30.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Fabril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
VIV
1 - 4
DEP
40%
24%
36%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
DEP
0 - 0
FIS
79%
14%
8%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
DEP
3 - 0
RCV
49%
24%
27%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
EST
2 - 6
DEP
25%
23%
52%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
POL
3 - 1
DEP
63%
21%
16%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
CHO
1 - 0
PON
78%
14%
8%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 0
CHO
37%
25%
38%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -2 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
CHO
4 - 0
UDO
63%
20%
17%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
ALO
2 - 1
CHO
41%
26%
33%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
CHO
1 - 2
EST
57%
21%
22%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |