Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 3-3
Deportivo Fabril vs Caudal Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
45.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Fabril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
DEP
2 - 1
GRA
46%
28%
25%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
COM
1 - 0
DEP
85%
12%
3%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
CAU
3 - 1
DEP
78%
15%
8%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
DEP
0 - 0
TUR
51%
27%
22%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
SIE
1 - 0
DEP
62%
23%
15%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Caudal Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
CAU
3 - 1
PON
36%
34%
30%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
LUG
4 - 1
CAU
51%
29%
20%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
CAU
3 - 1
DEP
78%
15%
8%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
CAU
2 - 1
SSC
46%
29%
25%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
ATH
3 - 0
CAU
79%
15%
6%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |