Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 4-2
Deportivo Fabril vs Candás CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
14.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Fabril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1971 |
DEP
0 - 0
CAU
49%
27%
24%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1971 |
CAN
1 - 1
DEP
44%
26%
30%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1971 |
CDO
3 - 1
DEP
76%
17%
7%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1971 |
DEP
0 - 2
PON
51%
26%
23%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1971 |
COM
3 - 1
DEP
60%
22%
18%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Candás CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1971 |
TUR
2 - 0
CAN
59%
23%
18%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1971 |
CAN
1 - 1
DEP
44%
26%
30%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1971 |
CAN
1 - 2
LEM
57%
24%
19%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1971 |
AST
1 - 3
CAN
29%
29%
42%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1971 |
CAN
0 - 1
GIM
43%
27%
30%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |