Deportivo Fabril vs Arosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Fabril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 0
DEP
23%
24%
53%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
DEP
6 - 0
BER
87%
10%
3%
|
32 | 10 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
LAR
0 - 3
DEP
14%
22%
64%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
DEP
4 - 2
BOI
58%
23%
19%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CUL
1 - 2
DEP
14%
20%
65%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ARO
3 - 0
RIB
45%
25%
31%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
BER
1 - 0
ARO
41%
26%
33%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ARO
1 - 2
PON
29%
27%
44%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
CER
2 - 3
ARO
50%
25%
26%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ARO
0 - 0
ALO
51%
24%
25%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |