Dep. Armenio vs Tristán Suárez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
24.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Armenio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
COM
2 - 3
ARM
51%
26%
23%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
ARM
1 - 2
PLA
39%
30%
31%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
ATL
3 - 1
ARM
47%
27%
26%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
ARM
2 - 0
CCO
35%
29%
37%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
ALM
3 - 3
ARM
50%
27%
23%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2012 |
SUA
1 - 0
COL
42%
28%
30%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
FLA
0 - 0
SUA
40%
29%
31%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
SUA
1 - 0
BRO
29%
27%
45%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 1
SUA
55%
25%
21%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
SUA
1 - 3
CHA
34%
29%
38%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |