Dep. Armenio vs Deportivo Morón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
28.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Armenio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
ACA
0 - 2
ARM
30%
28%
41%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
ARM
2 - 0
AND
48%
29%
23%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2013 |
ARM
1 - 1
ALM
38%
26%
35%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
FLA
1 - 3
ARM
28%
27%
45%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
ARM
2 - 0
DEF
50%
28%
23%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Morón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
DEF
0 - 2
MOR
35%
31%
34%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2013 |
MOR
0 - 0
COM
47%
24%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2013 |
MOR
4 - 2
UAI
46%
26%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2013 |
EST
0 - 0
MOR
60%
24%
16%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2013 |
MOR
3 - 0
ARM
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +2 |