Dep. Armenio vs Deportivo Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
14.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Armenio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
ARM
1 - 3
AND
60%
25%
16%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2024 |
AND
0 - 1
ARM
24%
29%
47%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
ARM
1 - 0
DOC
59%
25%
17%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
DOC
0 - 2
ARM
27%
28%
44%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
EXC
1 - 1
ARM
30%
28%
43%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2024 |
MER
1 - 0
FEN
53%
26%
21%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
MID
0 - 0
MER
50%
27%
23%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
MER
1 - 1
AND
35%
29%
36%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
CAÑ
0 - 2
MER
28%
28%
44%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
MER
0 - 0
LAF
61%
24%
16%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |