Dep. Armenio vs Deportivo Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
31.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Armenio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 1
ARM
74%
18%
9%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
ARM
1 - 0
CAÑ
38%
27%
35%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +2 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
ARQ
1 - 0
ARM
52%
25%
23%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
ARM
3 - 0
ITA
47%
26%
27%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2017 |
CAD
1 - 1
ARM
69%
20%
12%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2017 |
MER
1 - 1
SBA
52%
23%
24%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
MER
1 - 1
EXC
24%
26%
51%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | +2 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
CAD
2 - 1
MER
59%
22%
19%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
MER
0 - 0
CAD
42%
25%
33%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2017 |
CAÑ
0 - 1
MER
52%
24%
24%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |