Dep. Armenio vs Deportivo Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.5%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
29.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Armenio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
ARM
1 - 2
TEM
50%
27%
23%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2013 |
FEN
2 - 0
ARM
35%
28%
37%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
CHA
1 - 0
ARM
44%
28%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
ARM
1 - 2
ALM
40%
28%
32%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2013 |
DAL
1 - 2
ARM
28%
28%
45%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
UAI
1 - 2
MER
44%
29%
26%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
MER
1 - 1
EST
38%
29%
32%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
MER
1 - 2
ATL
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
COM
0 - 0
MER
34%
30%
36%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2013 |
MER
2 - 0
COL
47%
28%
25%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |