Dep. Anzoátegui vs Ureña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
11.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Anzoátegui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
TUC
1 - 1
ANZ
17%
23%
60%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ESC
2 - 0
ANZ
32%
28%
40%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2015 |
ANZ
2 - 2
TUC
73%
17%
10%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2015 |
ANZ
2 - 0
MIN
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
ANZ
3 - 2
EST
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Ureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
URE
0 - 0
MET
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
LAR
2 - 1
URE
66%
21%
13%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
ESC
3 - 3
URE
52%
26%
22%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
URE
1 - 0
EST
38%
27%
35%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
TRU
3 - 0
URE
58%
25%
17%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |