Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 1-4
Dep. Anzoátegui vs Universitario de Deportes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
23%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Anzoátegui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
ANZ
0 - 1
MIN
58%
24%
19%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2011 |
LLA
0 - 1
ANZ
16%
26%
59%
|
68 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
ANZ
1 - 0
CFC
42%
26%
32%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
ANZ
2 - 0
QUI
32%
27%
41%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | +2 |
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
YAR
1 - 0
ANZ
33%
29%
39%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
HUA
1 - 0
UNI
49%
28%
23%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 1
LEO
45%
27%
29%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
SAM
0 - 0
UNI
55%
26%
19%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
UNI
0 - 3
CNI
58%
25%
17%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
AUR
1 - 0
UNI
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |