Conmebol Sudamericana 1/32
Global 0-2
Dep. Anzoátegui vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
35.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Anzoátegui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
IVT
0 - 0
ANZ
63%
22%
16%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
ANZ
1 - 2
ZAM
52%
25%
24%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2013 |
ZAM
1 - 1
ANZ
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
ANZ
1 - 0
TRU
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
DEP
2 - 0
ANZ
30%
28%
43%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
UCE
2 - 3
IVT
54%
23%
24%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
IVT
0 - 0
ANZ
63%
22%
16%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
IVT
3 - 0
MAC
66%
21%
13%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
EME
1 - 0
IVT
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2013 |
IVT
0 - 1
QUI
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |