Apertura Venezuela Semi-finals
Global 7-1
Dep. Anzoátegui vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Anzoátegui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2016 |
ARA
1 - 1
ANZ
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
ANZ
3 - 1
MIN
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
MIN
0 - 1
ANZ
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
ANZ
0 - 0
URE
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 1
ANZ
30%
28%
42%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2016 |
ARA
1 - 1
ANZ
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
TAC
2 - 2
ARA
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
ARA
1 - 0
TAC
31%
27%
42%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
MIN
1 - 2
ARA
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ARA
2 - 0
TAC
26%
27%
47%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |