Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 1-2
Dep. Anzoátegui vs Alianza Atl. Sullana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
14.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Anzoátegui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
ANZ
4 - 3
ZUL
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2009 |
ANZ
0 - 1
MIR
56%
25%
20%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
DEP
3 - 2
ANZ
35%
29%
36%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
ANZ
1 - 0
CAR
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2009 |
ALI
0 - 0
ANZ
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Alianza Atl. Sullana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
HUA
0 - 0
ALI
63%
23%
14%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
SPO
2 - 0
ALI
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
ALI
0 - 0
SAM
31%
27%
42%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
ALI
1 - 3
AYA
47%
28%
25%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
ALI
0 - 0
ALI
51%
26%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |