Deportivo Alavés B vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
37.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Alavés B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1999 |
ALA
2 - 1
ZAM
33%
27%
39%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
AUR
2 - 0
ALA
55%
25%
19%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
ALA
1 - 0
GIM
28%
29%
43%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | +4 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
ZAR
4 - 2
ALA
66%
20%
13%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
ALA
0 - 1
IZA
61%
23%
16%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
GER
0 - 2
AUR
36%
29%
35%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
GIM
3 - 0
GER
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
GER
1 - 1
ZAR
38%
28%
34%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
IZA
1 - 1
GER
22%
26%
52%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
GER
4 - 0
RUN
44%
27%
29%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |