Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 8-2
Deportivo Alavés B vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
9.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Alavés B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1980 |
AUR
3 - 2
ALA
50%
27%
23%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1980 |
ALA
1 - 0
ZOR
79%
15%
7%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1980 |
GER
1 - 4
ALA
48%
25%
28%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1980 |
LON
5 - 0
ALA
48%
28%
25%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 1980 |
ALA
3 - 2
LEM
75%
17%
8%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1980 |
GER
0 - 0
MUT
57%
25%
18%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1980 |
AFT
4 - 0
GER
63%
22%
15%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 1980 |
GER
1 - 4
ALA
48%
25%
28%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 1980 |
GER
0 - 0
BKE
68%
20%
12%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1980 |
EIB
0 - 1
GER
82%
13%
5%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |