Tercera Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 1-1
Deportivo Alavés B vs Palencia Cristo Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
33%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Alavés B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
CAT
0 - 1
ALA
51%
25%
25%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
ALA
0 - 1
SDF
30%
24%
45%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
SDF
2 - 0
ALA
56%
24%
20%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
ALA
4 - 0
BAS
69%
19%
13%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
DEU
2 - 1
ALA
29%
27%
44%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Palencia Cristo Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
CAT
0 - 1
ALA
51%
25%
25%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
AVI
1 - 1
CAT
55%
23%
22%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
CAT
2 - 1
AVI
24%
22%
54%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +2 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
CAB
0 - 4
CAT
30%
25%
44%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
CAT
1 - 0
VIL
74%
17%
9%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | +1 |