Copa Federacion 1/16
Global 1-2
Deportivo Alavés B vs CD Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
66.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Alavés B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ALA
0 - 3
CLU
44%
25%
31%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 0
ALA
75%
17%
8%
|
26 | 52 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
CDV
3 - 2
ALA
46%
25%
29%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
ALA
2 - 0
ZAL
33%
26%
42%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +2 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
LON
0 - 1
ALA
43%
27%
30%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
CD Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 1
SES
46%
27%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
SDA
4 - 0
GUA
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 0
ALA
75%
17%
8%
|
52 | 26 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 1
RUN
41%
28%
31%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
RSO
1 - 1
GUA
36%
27%
37%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |